Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.111267 0.118922 0.126893 0.135827 0.145577 0.155908 0.167707
2025-10-05 0.097688 0.109342 0.122214 0.137556 0.155430 0.175703 0.200589
2025-10-12 0.088341 0.102442 0.118744 0.139144 0.164212 0.194302 0.233600
2025-10-19 0.080357 0.095797 0.114300 0.138380 0.169290 0.208195 0.261781
2025-10-26 0.074331 0.090676 0.110865 0.138029 0.174240 0.221764 0.290429
2025-11-02 0.068932 0.085728 0.107008 0.136468 0.177049 0.232302 0.315639
2025-11-09 0.063490 0.080227 0.101883 0.132590 0.176081 0.237201 0.332915
2025-11-16 0.059315 0.076047 0.098120 0.130119 0.176633 0.243993 0.353360
2025-11-23 0.055763 0.072437 0.094825 0.127946 0.177263 0.250716 0.374139
2025-11-30 0.053715 0.070723 0.093975 0.129107 0.182756 0.265077 0.408606
2025-12-07 0.050419 0.067069 0.090147 0.125588 0.180780 0.267476 0.423147
2025-12-14 0.046958 0.062996 0.085485 0.120491 0.175912 0.264711 0.428234
2025-12-21 0.044341 0.060055 0.082377 0.117660 0.174585 0.267901 0.444866
2025-12-28 0.043370 0.059455 0.082681 0.120125 0.182024 0.286570 0.492690
2026-01-04 0.042254 0.058574 0.082503 0.121796 0.188259 0.303751 0.540190
2026-01-11 0.040670 0.056909 0.081028 0.121257 0.190654 0.314253 0.575796
2026-01-18 0.039272 0.055453 0.079786 0.120994 0.193465 0.325726 0.615050
2026-01-25 0.037735 0.053708 0.077995 0.119684 0.194278 0.333446 0.647261
2026-02-01 0.035864 0.051368 0.075146 0.116403 0.191251 0.333394 0.661947
2026-02-08 0.034374 0.049559 0.073062 0.114309 0.190243 0.337214 0.686136
2026-02-15 0.033032 0.047928 0.071190 0.112466 0.189549 0.341563 0.712195
2026-02-22 0.032353 0.047317 0.070943 0.113451 0.194285 0.357536 0.769456
2026-03-01 0.030928 0.045455 0.068550 0.110463 0.191076 0.356353 0.782637